Sit and begin is relative and league dependent, so think about a few of these strategies extra “fliers” and “fades” (notice that some are focused for DFS).
Good luck together with your Week Three lineups.
Sit: Henry Ruggs
Begin in DFS: Cam Newton ($32)
Ruggs obtained off to a pleasant begin to his profession however shortly suffered a knee harm and has been quiet since (and remained restricted in follow this week). Up in opposition to an indignant Patriots protection in New England, no Raider may be trusted in fantasy lineups outdoors of Josh Jacobs and Darren Waller this week.
Newton simply threw for almost 400 yards in Seattle (resulting in Julian Edelman setting a career-high in receiving yards) with middling goal choices (James White missed the sport), and he’s additionally on tempo to file 32 speeding touchdowns this season (and he might simply have two extra). Given his dominance on the objective line and the matchup, Newton is a borderline top-five fantasy QB in Week Three and somebody to think about in DFS.
Begin: Darrell Henderson, Devin Singletary
Malcolm Brown returned to follow Thursday, and this actually doesn’t come with out threat, however Henderson impressed final week (and ranks fourth in elusive score thus far this yr) and carries a ton of upside on this Rams offense that’s among the many league leaders in yards per play. The all-time school chief in YPC, Henderson ought to profit from Cam Akers’ (ribs) possible absence and is worthy of a flex play in Week 3.
Singletary must take care of Josh Allen stealing touchdowns across the objective line, however he must be extra touches with Zack Moss nursing a toe harm. Singletary’s targets have been approach up early on (10) even with the rookie again taking part in, and the Payments get a Rams run-funnel protection that ranks #Eight in opposition to the cross in DVOA and #27 in opposition to the run.
Sit: David Johnson
Begin in DFS: James Conner ($17)
Johnson might quickly be a buy-low candidate, however he will get yet one more troublesome matchup in Week Three in opposition to a Pittsburgh run protection that ranks #1 in DVOA and has held working backs to only 48.5 speeding yards per sport thus far. I’d fairly gamble on Darrell Henderson, Antonio Gibson, Joshua Kelley, and even Jeff Wilson Jr. this week.
[Week 3 Fantasy Rankings: QBs | RBs | WRs | TEs | FLEX | DST | Kickers]
Conner retook the position as Pittsburgh’s clear lead again final week, solidified by a late Benny Snell misplaced fumble. There’s at all times threat with Conner, however $17 is low for a three-down again who’s at residence in such a positive matchup. I’ve Conner as my RB8 in Week 3.
Begin: Jeff Wilson Jr., Darius Slayton
Whereas Jerick McKinnon must be energetic within the passing sport, anticipate Wilson to take over as San Francisco’s lead again, resulting in 15+ touches in a productive system (that also features a stable offensive line). The Giants have quietly performed effectively defensively, rating #7 in DVOA, however Wilson must be busy with the 49ers coping with accidents to the crew’s high two working backs, #1 broad receiver and #1 tight finish. Wilson has been the crew’s goal-line again earlier than, and don’t be stunned when he finishes as a top-20 fantasy again in Week 3.
Slayton goes to learn drastically from the accidents to Sterling Shepard, Saquon Barkley and so many on San Francisco’s protection. Slayton has averaged almost a landing (0.8) over 5 video games with out Shepard in his profession and already ranks top-25 in WOPR this season, so he’s a top-15 WR on my board in Week 3. The Giants aren’t going to have the ability to run the ball with Devonta Freeman (the massive variations in FAB bids between him and Wilson had been completely wild), so Slayton goes to be extraordinarily worthwhile transferring ahead (one other Evan Engram harm would make him even busier).
Tennessee Titans @ Minnesota Vikings
Begin: Corey Davis
Begin in DFS: Adam Thielen ($24)
Quantity is at all times a priority with Tennessee’s passing assault, however with no A.J. Brown once more, Davis stays a superb begin in Week 3. Davis has seen about as many air yards as DeAndre Hopkins this season and he will get a Minnesota protection that’s been gashed for the second-most fantasy factors by broad receivers.
Thielen leads the NFL in air yards goal share and WOPR, and Minnesota’s drastic decline in protection and lack of Stefon Diggs ought to proceed to make him one of many 5 Most worthy fantasy receivers transferring ahead — and a top-three possibility in Week Three at residence in a sport with a complete approaching 50 factors.
Story continues
Washington Soccer Group @ Cleveland Browns
Begin: Antonio Gibson, Browns D/ST
Gibson has impressed when touching the ball and continues to see his position broaden (65% snap share final week whereas Peyton Barber disappeared), so he’s an possibility in a tenuous working again panorama.
The Browns enter with an amazing benefit within the trenches, and Dwayne Haskins is wanting much less like Washington’s long-term reply at QB. He obtained simply 6.Three YPA with a 1:5 TD:INT ratio over 5 video games on the highway final season, and he ranks final by a mile in CPAE thus far in 2020. I’ve the Browns as a top-three fantasy protection in Week 3.
Cincinnati Bengals @ Philadelphia Eagles
Begin: Joe Burrow, Carson Wentz
Burrow hasn’t been environment friendly (5.Three YPA) however a whopping 97 makes an attempt have given him essentially the most alternative for fantasy factors amongst all quarterbacks this season, and he will get an Eagles cross protection that ranks 27th in DVOA. It helps that the Bengals can’t run the ball (and that Burrow can), and this sport initiatives to be among the many fastest-paced this week.
Wentz has been terrible thus far, rating second-to-last in CPAE and even getting booed at residence with out followers. However he’s confronted a tricky schedule and may bounce again in a positive residence matchup and with DeSean Jackson and Miles Sanders more healthy (though with no Jalen Reagor).
Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons
Begin: Mitch Trubisky, Russell Gage
Trubisky ranks first in Aggressiveness amongst QBs who’ve began two video games early on, provides speeding yards and will get an Atlanta protection that’s been shredded for essentially the most fantasy factors by quarterbacks this season. The Falcons ought to be capable to rating at residence, and the Bears normally battle working the ball, so the recipe is right here for Trubisky to be a top-12 fantasy QB indoors Sunday in opposition to an Atlanta protection that’s allowed the second-most yards per play this season.
Gage has averaged 7.9 targets over 11 video games since Mohamed Sanu was traded, and that ought to proceed with Julio Jones battling a hamstring harm that’s clearly bothering him. Atlanta is unlikely to run Todd Gurley with any success in opposition to the Bears, so Gage is as soon as once more a viable begin in Week 3. Matt Ryan is on tempo to throw essentially the most yards in NFL historical past by means of two video games.
New York Jets @ Indianapolis Colts
Sit: All Jets
Begin in DFS: T.Y. Hilton ($19)
It’s not Sam Darnold’s fault, however accidents and most significantly, Adam Gase’s teaching, have the Jets as this week’s largest underdogs by far (wonderful that Robby Anderson additionally has been instantly good after leaving Gase; I’m going to exit on a limb and predict the identical for Chris Herndon). The Jets’ offensive line goes to be overwhelmed by an Indy entrance seven that’s ceded the fewest yards per play this season, so sit all of them.
Hilton is off to a sluggish begin (together with a nasty drop in the long run zone final week) however usually performs a lot better indoors, ought to transfer to the slot extra with Parris Campbell out and will get a Jets funnel protection that ranks #Three in opposition to the run but #22 versus the cross in DVOA, so I’m treating him as a top-12 WR this week.
Carolina Panthers @ Los Angeles Chargers
Begin: Mike Davis, Joshua Kelley
Davis clearly gained the backup job in Carolina this summer time and instantly secured all eight targets final week, revealing top-20 RB sort worth in PPR leagues so long as Christian McCaffrey is sidelined. The Chargers aren’t the best matchup, however given his utilization within the passing sport, Davis may be began with confidence in Week 3.
Kelley is clearly 1B to Austin Ekeler, however it must be one other run-heavy day for LA as close to landing residence favorites in opposition to a Carolina protection that’s ceded essentially the most fantasy factors to working backs this season. Kelley has six carries contained in the 10-yard line this yr in comparison with only one by Ekeler.
Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals
Begin: T.J. Hockenson
Begin in DFS: Kenyan Drake ($23)
Hockenson’s utilization has been disappointing to go together with the remainder of Detroit’s offense this season, however he’s secured all 9 targets and will get an Arizona protection in Week Three that allowed by far essentially the most fantasy factors to tight ends final season (the Cardinals have been higher thus far in 2020, however Logan Thomas had a excessive WOPR in opposition to them final week).
This sport initiatives lots of performs and lots of factors scored, and Drake seems to be absolutely wholesome as Arizona’s true function again. His fantasy manufacturing has been restricted thus far, however the Lions have yielded the fourth-most fantasy factors to working backs and rank final in run protection DVOA this season, so I really like the Drake and have him as a top-five RB in Week 3.
Kenyan Drake seems to be able to go off in Week Three alongside Kyler Murray. (Photograph by Christian Petersen/Getty Photographs)
Extra
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Denver Broncos
Sit: Tom Brady, Jerry Jeudy
Whereas it’s tempting to fireplace up Brady in lineups with Chris Godwin and Mike Evans each lastly wholesome and dealing with an injured Broncos protection, Denver stays a tricky place to play, and this matchup initiatives as slow-paced and low scoring. Brady has been awfully shaky over his final 13 video games now.
Jeudy is coping with a rib harm that’s prone to taking him out of Sunday’s sport at any second, and whereas Courtland Sutton is sidelined, Ok.J. Hamler noticed extra snaps and ran extra routes final week. Jeff Driskel is beginning at QB, and the Bucs enter taking part in effectively defensively, so Jeudy isn’t a robust Week Three begin.
Dallas Cowboys @ Seattle Seahawks
Begin: Everybody
This sport must be fast-paced and options groups that each rank top-five in yards per play, so it must be a fantasy goldmine. The Seahawks have allowed essentially the most fantasy factors to broad receivers this season, so I’ve Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup, and CeeDee Lamb all as top-25 WRs this week, whereas Dalton Schultz is a TE sleeper effectively price utilizing in PPR leagues. Russell Wilson is the present favourite to win MVP, and I’ve Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf each as top-five fantasy broad receivers this week.
Inexperienced Bay Packers @ New Orleans Saints
Begin: Marquez Valdes-Scantling
Sit: Drew Brees
With Davante Adams unlikely to play (and gained’t be near 100% if he does), MVS is a top-30 fantasy WR on this possible high-scoring matchup indoors. Valdes-Scantling ranks #13 in air yards this season, and Aaron Rodgers seems to be rejuvenated.
Whereas Rodgers seems to be nice, Brees has seemed each bit his 41 years of age and sports activities the third-worst CPAE within the league over the primary two video games of the season (after struggling badly down the stretch final yr). Brees is already signed to enter the TV sales space subsequent yr, and it’s changing into more and more possible he gained’t final the vast majority of 2020 as New Orleans’ starter. He will get a Inexperienced Bay protection Sunday evening that ranks #30 in DVOA in opposition to the run thus far this season, so the Saints will possible lean on their speeding assault.
Kansas Metropolis Chiefs @ Baltimore Ravens
Begin: Mecole Hardman, Mark Ingram
Hardman is a chance (particularly with the sport being Monday evening) with simply 4 targets on the season, however Sammy Watkins would possibly sit whereas coping with a concussion, and Kansas Metropolis goes to throw a ton attempting to maintain up with Baltimore’s unstoppable offense. It’s possible an aberration that quickly ends, however it’s mildly curious that Patrick Mahomes has the third-lowest common meant air yards (forward of solely Drew Brees and Sam Darnold) over the primary two video games of the season.
It’s not an excellent state of affairs with a three-headed backfield committee in Baltimore, however Ingram ought to see extra snaps in a sport that ought to stay aggressive longer, and he will get a KC D that allowed the fifth-most fantasy factors to working backs final season and ranks 26th in run protection DVOA this yr. Ingram is a superb begin throughout arguably the matchup of the season Monday evening.
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